Towards the search of brilliance
Wednesday , January 22 , 2025

A New Dawn in Sri Lankan Politics

In addition, the party must recognize that the electorate’s trust is fragile, especially in regions like the north and east, where minority communities have repeatedly been let down by successive governments. While the broader population may grant the NPP more time to implement reforms, these marginalized groups expect swift action on long-standing grievances, including land rights, the release of political prisoners, and accountability for wartime abuses. Meeting these demands is critical not only to sustain their support but also to demonstrate the government’s commitment to national reconciliation.

09-12-2024
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The political landscape of Sri Lanka has undergone a seismic shift following the recent electoral victory of the National People's Power (NPP). This unprecedented mandate, characterized by sweeping majorities across the nation, represents both a bold endorsement of change and an immense responsibility for the new administration. With a two-thirds majority in parliament—159 seats in total—the NPP has been granted the kind of power that has historically shaped Sri Lanka's political trajectory. Yet, this moment of triumph carries the weight of history and the lessons of past missteps. As the NPP prepares to navigate this newfound influence, the stakes could not be higher.

The Significance of the Mandate

The scale of the NPP's victory is remarkable. In some constituencies, the party achieved majorities exceeding 70%, with an overall national mandate of 61%. Such a commanding win is rare in Sri Lanka's electoral history and reflects a palpable yearning for change. This triumph swept away seasoned political figures known for their long-standing influence on national policies, replacing them with a wave of younger, less experienced leaders. This shift underscores the electorate’s rejection of entrenched political norms and their embrace of fresh perspectives.

However, the lack of governance and administrative experience among many of these new leaders presents an immediate challenge. Recognizing this, the government has wisely planned a three-day workshop to acquaint its parliamentary members with legislative procedures, committee functions, and session activities. This pragmatic approach is vital for ensuring that the new representatives are adequately prepared to handle the complexities of governance.

Learning from Historical Precedents

Sri Lanka's history is replete with examples of governments wielding two-thirds majorities, often with mixed outcomes. The last such instance occurred in 2019 when the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) under President Gotabaya Rajapaksa achieved a similarly formidable majority. Yet, instead of translating this political capital into meaningful reform, the administration engaged in constitutional amendments and policies that led to disastrous consequences. Hubris, corruption, and impunity became defining features of that era, eroding public trust and plunging the nation into crisis.

Earlier instances in 1970 and 1977, when the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) and the United National Party (UNP) respectively secured two-thirds majorities under a first-past-the-post system, also underscore the dangers of unchecked power. These periods saw significant abuses of authority, including political violence and corruption. The NPP must heed these cautionary tales and prioritize transparency, accountability, and good governance to avoid repeating the mistakes of its predecessors.

A Unifying Electoral Outcome

One of the most striking features of this election has been the nationwide unity it symbolizes. The NPP's support cut across geographic, ethnic, and religious lines, marking a departure from Sri Lanka's traditionally polarized political landscape. For decades, the electoral map has been bifurcated, with the northern and eastern provinces voting along ethnic and religious lines while the rest of the country rallied behind majority-dominated parties. This time, the map is largely uniform, with only a single district standing apart.

This shift represents a rare moment of inclusivity and trust. Minority communities in the north and east, who historically supported parties representing their specific ethnic and religious interests, have placed their faith in the NPP's broader vision of national unity. This change is particularly significant given the long-standing grievances of these regions, including the effects of the civil war, economic marginalization, and unresolved issues of devolution, demilitarization, and justice for victims of the conflict.

Managing Expectations and Delivering Results

The NPP's electoral mandate comes with high expectations, particularly from marginalized communities. While the entire nation is grappling with economic recovery, regions like the north and east face additional challenges related to underdevelopment, land disputes, and inadequate political representation. These regions have pinned their hopes on the new administration to address these specific concerns, in addition to the broader national issues of corruption, economic instability, and social inequality. However, the government must tread carefully. In regions that have experienced decades of unmet promises, patience is thin. The administration has an opportunity to implement existing laws and policies to address immediate grievances, such as land restitution, linguistic equality, and representation of Tamil officers in public institutions. These actions do not require constitutional amendments and can be executed swiftly, demonstrating the government's commitment to inclusivity and justice.

Bridging the Gap: Challenges and Opportunities for the NPP’s Mandate

The National People's Power (NPP) government is poised at a crossroads, where its electoral triumph can either be a catalyst for transformative governance or fall victim to the very pitfalls that have historically plagued Sri Lanka’s political landscape. With an overwhelming two-thirds majority, the government holds a unique position to address structural issues, foster reconciliation, and set the country on a path of economic and political renewal. However, the challenges ahead demand strategic action and an unwavering commitment to the expectations of the electorate.

Addressing the Legacy of Disillusionment

The NPP's landslide victory was as much a rejection of the old political order as it was a vote of confidence in their promise of change. Decades of governance by Sri Lanka’s main political parties had left the electorate disillusioned, culminating in the economic collapse of 2022. While former President Ranil Wickremesinghe managed to stabilize the freefall to some extent, his administration’s failure to tackle systemic corruption and address the root causes of the crisis alienated the public. The NPP must differentiate itself by not merely stabilizing but fundamentally reforming the system.

In addition, the party must recognize that the electorate’s trust is fragile, especially in regions like the north and east, where minority communities have repeatedly been let down by successive governments. While the broader population may grant the NPP more time to implement reforms, these marginalized groups expect swift action on long-standing grievances, including land rights, the release of political prisoners, and accountability for wartime abuses. Meeting these demands is critical not only to sustain their support but also to demonstrate the government’s commitment to national reconciliation.

Constitutional Reform and Ethnic Reconciliation

A significant portion of the NPP's mandate lies in its potential to address Sri Lanka’s enduring ethnic conflict. For decades, discussions on devolution of power, demilitarization, and justice for victims of the civil war have stagnated due to a lack of political will. The NPP’s two-thirds majority provides an unprecedented opportunity to enact meaningful constitutional reforms that could resolve these issues and entrench solutions in law.

However, achieving this will require an inclusive and consultative approach. The government must engage with all stakeholders, including civil society organizations, minority leaders, and opposition parties, to craft reforms that reflect the aspirations of all communities. This process must be transparent and collaborative, ensuring that the solutions are sustainable and not merely imposed from the top.

The international dimension adds another layer of urgency. A resolution to the ethnic conflict would not only garner support from the global Tamil diaspora but also improve Sri Lanka’s standing with key international partners, including India. A successful reconciliation process would enhance investor confidence, signaling stability and peace in a region historically associated with conflict. This could serve as a foundation for attracting much-needed foreign investment to revive the economy.

Economic Recovery: A Daunting Task

While ethnic reconciliation is a critical priority, the government must also grapple with the country’s dire economic situation. Years of mismanagement, compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic and global economic shocks, have left Sri Lanka on the brink of collapse. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned of severe fiscal constraints, leaving little room for quick fixes. The NPP’s challenge will be to balance fiscal discipline with social welfare, ensuring that the poorest segments of society are protected from further economic extraction.

One way to achieve this is by combating corruption—a key demand of the electorate. By fostering transparency, streamlining bureaucratic processes, and holding accountable those responsible for past misdeeds, the NPP can free up resources for critical investments in healthcare, education, and infrastructure. These efforts, while gradual, would signal a departure from the corrupt practices that characterized previous administrations.

Seizing the Moment

The NPP’s electoral victory represents a rare alignment of public support, political power, and international goodwill. However, history has shown that such moments are fleeting. The government must act decisively to leverage this mandate for transformative change, addressing both the immediate concerns of the populace and the structural issues that have hindered Sri Lanka’s progress.

In the short term, the administration can build trust by addressing grievances in the north and east, such as land restitution, language equality, and increased representation in public institutions. These actions, while straightforward, would serve as tangible evidence of the government’s commitment to inclusivity and justice. Simultaneously, the NPP must lay the groundwork for longer-term reforms, including constitutional amendments and economic revitalization.

Conclusion

Sri Lanka stands at a pivotal moment in its history. The NPP has been entrusted with a mandate that few governments have enjoyed, but this mandate comes with immense responsibility. To meet the high expectations of the electorate, the government must prioritize transparency, inclusivity, and accountability. It must also resist the temptations of unchecked power, recognizing that its legacy will be defined not by the extent of its authority but by the wisdom and integrity with which it wields it. The path forward is fraught with challenges, from economic recovery to ethnic reconciliation, but it is also rich with opportunity. By addressing the grievances of the past and forging a vision for the future, the NPP has the chance to not only transform Sri Lanka but also set an example for other nations grappling with similar issues. The world is watching, and the time for bold, principled leadership is now.

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Mizanur Rahman
Mizanur Rahman is a PhD student at the University of Arkansas. His research focuses on geopolitics, South Asian politics, and diplomacy.
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